How To Understand The Guide

Each Blog post contains several components and headings.
This is what each of them mean, how to interpret them and how they were created:

  1. - Start: - The figure following this heading is the amount of Noah that I had before I attempted to upgrade the set (an Upgrade Set is 7 items taken to the anvil at a time to be upgraded)
  2. - Expense Chart - This table lists all the items that were purchased for the upgrade set and the prices of each (Simply the scrolls and the items to be upgraded). The total value of all these items is the expense and this figure will be used later to determine other statistics eg. subtracted from the final value of the upgraded items to be sold to get the profit.
  3. - Break Chart - This chart lists when the items in the Upgrade Set "burned" in the anvil. This information allows us to figure out when is the most profitable grade to stop upgrading at, as well as the success rates of going to the next grade.
  4. - Success Chart - The success chart shows a table of the most up to date success rates for taking an item to the next grade with the anvil. The percentages become more accurate with every Upgrade Set as the results from the previous ones are added to the new ones. Like this: let's say that after the first set 5 out of 6 Iron Bows made it to +5 from +4. This equates to a success rate of 83.33%. Now in the second set 4 out of 5 Iron Bows make it to +5 from +4. The success rate for the second set is 80%. HOWEVER the chart will show statistics of all previous sets as well... so A TOTAL of 9 out of 11 Iron Bows have made it to +5 from+4 and the table will show a success rate of 81.8%
  5. - Net Gain/Loss - This is simply the value of the items I am able to sell, minus the Expense. If the answer is positive, I have overall gained money. A negative answer means I have lost money overall.
  6. - End: - This is the amount of money I finish with after completing the upgrade set (after selling what I have made (assuming there was anything)).
  7. - Highest Potential Value of US at any point: - This tell us the most amount of money I could have possibly made off the set. For example it may turn out that if I started with 7 Iron Bows +1, the highest the set ever reached in value was when there were 4 of them at +6 and perhaps I only ended up with 1 at +7 (not worth as much as the 4 x +6)
  8. - Difference in actual and value of set/potential: - Taking the highest possible value of the set and looking at it against what it actually ended up being worth. Using above example, perhaps the 4 +6 Iron Bows were worth 40 million Noah more than the 1 +7 bow, the difference is -40mil.
  9. - Potential End: - By following what would happen if after every Upgrade Set, the maximum potential value was used (example, the 4 +6 Iron Bows) we can see how much money we would be on. This is the best possible amount of money we can get (what we are aiming to achieve every time we upgrade).
  10. - Risk/Return Theory (Thus Far): - If the Potential End value is higher than the End value, then the risk of upgrading higher is not worth it compared to being safer with lower grade items and the theory will be False.